Andy Viano, Who Is Far To Big For His Breeches

This is amazing.

Cubs owner Tom Ricketts is playing the usual MLB ownership card of moving the team if roadblocks to renovating Wrigley Field are not eliminated. Hopefully–and I say this as both a Chicago taxpayer and a baseball fan sick of seeing billionaires fleece taxpayers for stadium money–Ricketts will pony up all the money required for renovation, with no tax breaks from our bankrupt, poorly-run city.

In steps Andy Viano, the president and general manager of the Schaumburg Boomers, an independent league team in the northwest suburbs of Chicago, with an offer to warmly welcome the Cubs as tenants in their 7,365-capacity ballpark. “We will propose a fair and honest rent, no question about that, but we have one tenant that’s committed to winning a championship in 2013 so the Boomers would get first priority on dates.”

In summary….

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Carlos Martinez April 24 v NW Arkansas

Carlos Martinez, in stuff, was about the same last night against Northwest Arkansas as he was when I saw him two years ago in low-A. His four-seam fastball showed plus velocity, sitting 93-95 and touching a bit higher when he reached back for it. Martinez can spin a curveball. Two of his four strikeouts came on whiffs with his curve, including a very impressive at-bat to close out the second inning in which he got strike two swinging with the curve, had the batter looking for the fastball with two strikes, and fooled him with another curve.

Martinez stayed on top of his fastball, throwing it almost exclusively at the knee level or lower. He was a bit erratic–he almost hit Brett Eibner with the first pitch of the game, and did hit Eibner in his second time facing him. I saw mostly four-seam fastballs from Martinez, and the game plan for him in this outing appears to be to have worked on throwing a lot of fastballs, and locating the pitch low in the zone.

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On The Lack Of Absolutes When Prospecting

Some players you just know. Strasburg. Harper. Trout. Verlander. Felix. Kershaw. As prospects, they were gilded, and their pro careers have validated the hype that surrounded them as minor leaguers. Top prospects pan out more than the lower-tier players. The difference between the #2-ranked prospect in baseball and the #12 prospect is far greater than the difference between someone’s list ranking two players #51 and #63.

There is a degree of uncertainty in the very elite prospects, and after you get through that group of less than 10 players each year there are question marks. Pitchers with great stuff who lack command. Undersized left-handed pitchers with great command and a nice changeup but low velocity and little physical projection. Hitters with big power in the batting cage but a significant amount of swing-and-miss in games that limits the translation of that power to game action. Shortstops who can hit but appear unlikely to stick at shortstop. Shortstops who can stick at shortstop but can’t hit. Raw athletes who have not fully developed baseball skills. Even this year’s unanimous top prospect, Jurickson Profar, comes with questions.

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Adam Wainwright Is Shoving It, And Probably Shoving It More Than You Realize

On October 7, 2012 in Game 1 of the NLDS, Adam Wainwright walked Kurt Suzuki. It was the last batter Wainwright faced that night, and now, 9 1/3 more 2012 postseason innings plus 29 2013 regular season innings later, it remains the last batter Wainwright walked.

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Free Wil Myers? Yes Please, And Chris Archer While We’re At It.

The Rays are off to an abysmal start, having scored less than 3 runs per game in their first 12 outings of 2013. They were just swept by the Red Sox in a four-game series that was shortened by weather to three, losing 2-1, 5-0, and 3-2.

We can rally all we want around the idea that the hitters are cold, point to their BABIPs and declare regression in order. We can insist optimistically that this is a team that will pull it together and score more in support of the pitching and defensive effort. That is, after all the team’s organizational paradigm: pitch and defend well, cobble together the runs where you can. It’s the Tampa version of Baseball On A Budget, and for the last several years, it has worked.

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Jose Fernandez Makes The Marlins Opening Day Roster

Per Joe Capozzi of the Palm Beach Post, the Miami Marlins have purchased the contract of 20 year old right-hander Jose Fernandez. Fernandez will make his MLB debut. I am a big believer in Fernandez’s talent. However, this might be the most unexpected, and dumbest, move the Marlins made between the last day of the 2012 season and tonight’s 2013 opening day.

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UPDATE: No More Kyle Lohse UPDATEs

Loshe got 3 years and $33 million total.

Or, the Brewers are paying Lohse to be leauge average.

Which is roughly what he is.

Maybe he’s less than league average over the next three seasons. But 100% for sure he won’t be more.

Wow. A rational market for a free agent player coming off a career year. Wild shit.

The Middle 54′s Top 54 Prospects

I started a series counting down prospects back in the fall. I wrote a list in late July, started writing the posts at the same time starting from the bottom up, doing one post every few days, then holding on to publish them all in a row. Halfway through the writing, I disliked it, and had already started posting them. Almost two months after making the list my opinions were changing.  For a MLB player with a 15-year career, two months is not much time. For a prospect who might spend 15-18 months tops in full-season minor league ball, 2 months is a big chunk of their publicly-displayed minor league development.

From the time that I wrote my list and started typing the accompanying posts to the end of the year, Shelby Miller pitched 59 1/3 minor league innings, striking out 70 and walking only seven. He went from the pitcher passed up by Joe Kelly for a St. Louis rotation spot to the most dominant pitcher in the minor leagues and a no-brainer member of St. Louis’s post-season roster in under six weeks. In August, I went from having just read a little here and there about Addison Russell to enjoying in-person the religious experience of seeing Russell overshadow older players in low-A.

Things change for prospects in a short window like that, especially when we’re assuming the often futile task of putting them in some kind of order.

Instead of a Top 50, or Top 100, that lists players in a specific order, I’m doing a Top 54  (just to be arbitrary and to tie the number to the number in my online handle), and instead of ranking all the players I’m grouping them into tiers.

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MLB Sues Biogenesis, For Allegedly Weakening A League They Probably Strengthened

Major League Baseball has filed suit against Biogenesis, the Florida lab that allegedly provided performance enhancing drugs to players. On the surface, this appears to me as little more than an attempt at discovery: who used, and what were they using, and when?

In MLB’s suit, they claim Biogenesis caused MLB to suffer damages, including “costs of investigation, loss of goodwill, loss of revenue and profits and injury to its reputation, image, strategic advantage and fan relationships.”  This, on the heels of The New Times telling MLB, when the league asked for the records of the investigation that outed Biogenesis and many players, “go fuck yourself.”

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LOL Scott Boras ROFL

According to this piece in USA Today, Scott Boras says, re his client Kyle Lohse, who is still without a contract:

I don’t understand why people think his value will drop…His value only rises because there’s a greater need now. The demand for him is created by attrition when teams learn that their younger pitching can’t meet their need….The integrity of the game has been compromised. What baseball has done, it has created a dynamic where draft dollars are affecting the major leaguers. Teams are constructing clubs to be non-competitive, like Houston and Miami, so they can position themselves where they can get more draft dollars. Clubs are trying to finish last to create more draft dollars. And this dramatically affects the wild-card and major-league standings.

Hoo boy. Lohse’s value is on the rise per Boras. But MLB has compromised the integrity of the game because….teams perceive there to be no value in Kyle Lohse, relative to a draft pick. So, which? Lohse has value or Lohse’s value is depressed by a game that is rigged against his clients.

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